Forecasting Electricity Demand in Turkey Using Optimization and Machine Learning Algorithms

Medium Neural Networks (MNN), Whale Optimization Algorithm (WAO), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) methods are frequently used in the literature for estimating electricity demand. The objective of this study was to make an estimation of the electricity demand for Turkey’s mainland with the use of mixed methods of MNN, WAO, and SVM. Imports, exports, gross domestic product (GDP), and population data are used based on input data from 1980 to 2019 for mainland Turkey, and the electricity demands up to 2040 are forecasted as an output value. The performance of methods was analyzed using statistical error metrics Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), R-squared, and Mean Square Error (MSE). The correlation matrix was utilized to demonstrate the relationship between the actual data and calculated values and the relationship between dependent and independent variables. The p-value and confidence interval analysis of statistical methods was performed to determine which method was more effective. It was observed that the minimum RMSE, MSE, and MAE statistical errors are 5.325 × 10⁻¹⁴, 28.35 × 10⁻²⁸, and 2.5 × 10⁻¹⁴, respectively. The MNN methods showed the strongest correlation between electricity demand forecasting and real data among all the applications tested

Electricity Demand Forecasting with Use of Artificial Intelligence: The Case of Gokceada Island

This study reviews a selection of approaches that have used Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), and Multi Linear Regression (MLR) to forecast electricity demand for Gokceada Island. Artificial Neural Networks, Particle Swarm Optimization, and Linear Regression methods are frequently used in the literature. Imports, exports, car numbers, and tourist-passenger numbers are used as based on input values from 2014 to 2020 for Gokceada Island, and the electricity energy demands up to 2040 are estimated as an output value. The results obtained were analyzed using statistical error metrics such as R2, MSE, RMSE, and MAE. The confidence interval analysis of the methods was performed. The correlation matrix is used to show the relationship between the actual value and method outputs and the relationship between independent and dependent variables. It was observed that ANN yields the highest confidence interval of 95% among the method utilized, and the statistical error metrics have the highest correlation for ANN methods between electricity demand output and actual data

Генезис либерализма и прагматизма в современном образовании

В статье представлен анализ возможности комплементарного сочетания двух базовых образовательных стратегий в системе высшего образования. Актуальность исследования обусловлена коренными изменениями, происходящими в мировом образовательном пространстве. В современном обществе ключевую роль играет уже не знание как абсолютная истина, которым с необходимостью должен овладеть человек в процессе обучения, а, скорее, информация, в которой нам необходимо научиться ориентироваться. Это, в свою очередь, приводит к изменениям в понимании задачи образования. В частности, становится необходимым сделать акцент не только на раз- витии профессиональных, компетентностных, но и социокультурных навыков студентов. На данный момент достаточно сложно выделить в образовательном процессе какую- либо ключевую, системообразующую и оригинальную идею, которая была бы понята и принята как в современной Европе, так и в России. Цель работы: проанализировать генезис и специфику либерального и прагматического подходов в современных образовательных системах, выявить общее и отличное, а также показать возможность и перспективы их гармоничного сочетания в современном университете. Методы исследования: основу работы составляет междисциплинарный метод, который формируется посредством синтеза методологических принципов: философского анализа, социологических методов, принципа историзма. Результаты: обосновано, что одним из важнейших условий продуктивного развития современного университета является сочетание либеральной и прагматической стратегий образовательного процесса. Первая связана с социокультурной миссией университета, последняя - с потребностями современного общества. The paper shows the analysis of the possibilities of complemental unity of two basic educational strategies in higher education system. We argue that leading modern universities are educational and training ones. The global changes in higher education have happened. In the modern society, knowledge plays a key role but not as the absolute truth, which people must obtain in the learning process, rather the information that we need to learn to navigate. This leads to the change in the understanding of the problem of education. In today's world the emphasis should be put not only on the development of professional competency, but also on socio-cultural skills of students. At the moment, it is quite difficult to point out a key, system and original idea in the educational process that would be understood and accepted both in modern Europe and Russia. The main aim of the study is to reveal the specifics of liberal and pragmatic approaches in the modern education systems, to identify something common and different, as well as to demonstrate the possibility of their harmonious combination at a modern university. Methods. The authors have applied interdisciplinary principle, which is formed by the synthesis of the methodological principles: philosophical analysis, sociological methods, principle of historicism. Results. The authors acknowledged that there are several trends in higher education today: multilevel system; modern information technologies; distant educational system and development; university complexes; new educational standards; new educational technologies and management structures, etc. We at the same time argue that there are at least two systems (tendencies) in the theory of university development: liberal and pragmatic. The former is connected with educational university's mission; the later is related with the needs of the modern society

Efficacy of injectable platelet-rich fibrin in the erosive oral lichen planus: a split-mouth, randomized, controlled clinical trial

Objective: Our study compared the effects of injectable platelet-rich fibrin (i-PRF) with those of corticosteroids in the treatment of erosive oral lichen planus (EOLP). Methodology: This split-mouth study included 24 individuals diagnosed histopathologically with bilateral EOLP. One bilateral lesion was injected with i-PRF, whereas the other was injected with methylprednisolone acetate in four sessions at 15-day intervals. Visual analog scale (VAS) for pain and satisfaction, oral health impact profile scale-14, and the lesion size were used. Results: The intragroup comparisons showed a significant decrease in VAS-pain and lesion size in both the i-PRF group (from 81.88±17.74 to 13.33±18.34, and from 4.79±0.41 to 1.88±1.08, respectively) and the corticosteroid group (from 80.21±17.35 to 23.33±26.81, and from 4.71±0.46 to 2.21±1.35, respectively) in the 6th month compared to baseline (p<0.001). Moreover, VAS-satisfaction increased significantly in both the i-PRF group (from 26.67±17.8 to 85.63±16.24) and the corticosteroid group (from 28.33±17.05 to 74.38±24.11) in the 6th month compared to baseline (p<0.001). However, no significant difference in any value occurred in the intergroup comparisons. Conclusion: In patients with EOLP, both methods decreased pain and lesion size similarly, and both increased satisfaction. Therefore, the use of i-PRF may be considered an option in cases refractory to topical corticosteroid therapy. Biochemical and histopathological studies are required to reveal the mechanism of i-PRF action in EOLP treatment

Effect of glide path preparation on apical debris extrusion of rotary and reciprocating single-file systems: OneShape versus WaveOne.

Objective To assess the effect of glide path on the amount of apically extruded debris after instrumentation with WaveOne and OneShape.Methods. Forty-eight extracted human mandibular incisorswere assigned to 4 groups. In groups 1 and 2, preparation was completed with WaveOne In groups 3 and 4, canals were prepared with OneShape. Before instrumentation, in groups 1 and 3, glide path was created with PathFile 1, 2, and 3 at working length, whereas in groups 2 and 4, glide path was not performed. The weight of the extruded debris for each group was calculated by comparing the pre- and post-instrumentation weights of the eppendorf tubes. The time required for reaching full WL was also recorded. Data were analyzed by Kruskal–Wallis and Mann–Whitney U tests. Results. There was no difference in the amount of debris extruded between the single file systems (P=0.234). Time required to reach full WL was significantly decreased by creating a glide path (P< 0.05).Conclusion. Creation of a glide path does not significantly affect the apically extruded debris

Contamination of Low Frictional Elastomeric Ligatures by Streptococcus mutans: A Prospective RT-PCR and AFM Study

Objective: To compare Streptococcus mutans colonization between low-friction elastomeric ligatures and to correlate microbial colonization levels with the surface roughness status.Methods: The study included 160 premolars of 10 patients. During the study period, which consisted of 4 sessions each lasting 4 weeks, the ligature types Slide™ Low-Friction Ligature (Leone, Firenze, Italy), Tough-O Energy™ (Rocky Mountain Orthodontics, Denver, USA), and Sili Ties™ (Dentsply Sirona, Surrey KT13 0NY, UK), and steel ligatures (American Orthodontics, Sheboygan, USA) as a control, were fixed to the premolar teeth by clockwise rotation among the jaw quadrants. The plaque index (PI) and gingival index (GI) were obtained before bonding (T0), 6 weeks after bonding (T1), and subsequently every 4 weeks (T2, T3, T4). Presence of S. mutans was analyzed by real-time polymerase chain reaction at T1, T2, T3, T4. Surface roughness was evaluated with Atomic Force Microscopy (AFM) before ligation (Ra0) and after (Ra1) ligation. The paired t-test, ANOVA, repeated measures of ANOVA, and the Kruskal–Wallis test were used for the statistical analysis.Results: S. mutans colonization was significantly higher on the Slide group (P .05).Conclusion:S. mutans colonization showed variations in low-friction elastomeric ligatures independent of surface roughness. Ringshaped low-friction elastomeric ligatures were not different from the steel ligature in terms of S. mutans colonization

Potential benefits of hyperbaric oxygen therapy on atherosclerosis and glycaemic control in patients with diabetic foot

Wstęp: Celem badania była ocena wpływu leczenia tlenem w komorze hiperbarycznej (HBOT, hyperbaric oxygen therapy) na kontrolę glikemii, czynniki ryzyka miażdżycy, wskaźniki zapalenia oraz inne kliniczne i laboratoryjne parametry u chorych z owrzodzeniem w przebiegu zespołu stopy cukrzycowej poddanych systemowej HBOT. Materiał i metody: Do badania włączono 28 chorych z owrzodzeniem stopy 2-4 stopnia według skali Wagnera. Wszyscy chorzy odbyli 30 sesji terapii 100-procentowym tlenem przy ciśnieniu 2,4 ATA przez około 105 minut, 5 razy w tygodniu. Zmierzono następujące parametry: glikemię na czczo, odsetek HbA1c, wskaźnik insulinooporności HOMA-IR, stężenie wysokoczułego białka C-reaktywnego (hs-CRP, high sensitivity C-reactive protein), stężenie kwasu moczowego, średnią objętość płytek krwi, a ponadto zbadano morfologię krwi i profil lipidowy. Wyniki: Po zakończeniu terapii stwierdzono istotną poprawę średnich wartości wszystkich badanych parametrów. Wnioski: Wykazano, że HBOT wpływa korzystnie na czynniki ryzyka miażdżycy i kontrolę glikemii u chorych na cukrzycę. Potrzebne są dalsze, prowadzone na szeroką skalę badania z randomizacją, aby ocenić ogólnoustrojowe efekty HBOT. (Endokrynol Pol 2010; 61 (3): 275-279)Introduction: The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of hyperbaric oxygen therapy (HBOT) on glycaemic control, atherosclerosis, inflammatory markers, and other clinical and laboratory parameters in patients undergoing systemic HBOT for diabetic foot ulcerations. Material and methods: Twenty-eight patients with Wagner grade 2-4 diabetic foot ulcerations were included. All patients were given 100% oxygen at 2.4 absolute atmosphere (ATA) for about 105 minutes, five times a week for a total of 30 sessions. Fasting blood glucose (FBG), haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), homeostasis model measurement-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), uric acid, mean platelet volume (MPV), complete blood count, and lipid profile were tested. Results: Upon completion of treatment, a statistically significant improvement was observed in the mean values of all assessed parameters. Conclusions: HBOT was shown to have beneficial effects on atherosclerosis and glycaemic control in diabetic patients. Further large-scale randomized studies are needed to study the systemic effects of HBOT. (Pol J Endocrinol 2010; 61 (3): 275-279